Category Archives: Public Policy and Governance

The Simple Truth

Academic types (I plead guilty) like to explain that reality is complicated and it isn’t always easy to determine just what causes have produced just what effects. When it comes to relatively complex policy issues, that’s (usually) true. But sometimes, we humans find ourselves in a situation that is far simpler to describe than the pundits and political scientists acknowledge.

Jason Linkins recently reminded us that there is a very simple explanation for why we are in an insane war in Iran.

What can be said about Trump’s war with Iran that isn’t already abundantly obvious? The answer: not much. It is not going well, and it probably won’t end well. But having spent time in the salt mines of Trump punditry, I can tell you that we’re going to endure a difficult round of think pieces purporting to explain How This Happened. So maybe this is the best time to assert the obvious, using my favored rubric of Trump analysis: Imagine if the dumbest person in the world and humanity’s biggest asshole were the same person, and that guy was president. Then imagine he started a war with Iran. Now check the news. One look, and here’s what you should be thinking: “Yep, that tracks.”

As with all of Trump’s presidential exploits, success is always constrained by two factors: The aforementioned sharp limitations of his intellectual capabilities and the fact that he is perpetually surrounded by an inner circle made up of clowns somewhere on the spectrum between “rampantly evil” and “thoroughgoing dipshit.”

Lnkins reminds us that the purported goals of this exercise shift with the days of the week–sometimes it’s regime change, sometimes a nuclear threat that knowledgeable folks discount…the story changes with the weather. (Like me, Linkins thinks the “wag the dog” thesis deserves consideration–the more we learn about the Epstein files, the more likely it becomes that full disclosure would confirm what most of us already believe about this sorry excuse for a human being.)

Whatever the actual motivation–and it sometimes seems as if both Trump and Hegseth confuse war with a video game–we’ve seen Trump ask for help from the allies he has consistently demeaned and threatened. Trump seems amazed that  countries he has routinely spit on, countries upon which he has imposed shifting levels of punative tariffs, countries that are now facing the consequences of his third-grade understanding of how the world works–are now uninterested in saving his behind.

As Linkin notes, it is especially maddening (at least to sentient beings) to see the administration react to Iran’s clampdown of the Strait of Hormuz

as if it’s some unfair trick the Iranians pulled and not one of the most singularly obvious strategic choices the regime could make under the circumstances—the other being Iran’s decision to attack other Gulf states, knowing that it would be a pain point for the U.S. both economically and diplomatically. But by Trump’s own admission, the very fact that Iran retaliated in any way has caught him completely flat-footed. “They weren’t supposed to go after all these other countries in the Middle East,” he told reporters on Monday. “They hit Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait. Nobody expected that. We were shocked!” Right now, there are 13-year-old kids about to invade Kamchatka in their first-ever game of Risk that look like Carl von Clausewitz compared to Trump.

America may rid itself of this disaster of an administration. We may–may–reform some of the obvious structural flaws that got us here. (Curing the deep racism and White Christian nationalism of the MAGA cult is, unfortunately, less likely.) But the rest of the world will never again trust a United States that elevated so demonstrable a moron/asshole/lunatic to the Presidency. As Paul Krugman recently put it, Americans are now watching scenes from the death of Pax Americana.

At this point, we face a variety of consequences–all bad–including a not insignificant threat of worldwide economic disaster. And it will be our fault.

A few days ago, I had breakfast with a former colleague, who shared his fury with the people who he reminded me are ultimately to blame for the demise of American hegemony: the voters who supported a man who wasn’t simply obviously and clearly unqualified, but who was a convicted felon, an adjudicated rapist, a highly-likely pedophile, a demostrable ignoramus and a certifiable moron.

Actually, it’s a toss-up between those voters and the would-be free-riders who didn’t bother to cast ballots.

Somehow, “told you so” doesn’t seem satisfactory….

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From The Middle Out

One of the most depressing aspects of contemporary politics has been the descent from civil debate to playground taunts. Name calling has replaced reasoned disagreement, an unfortunate shift vastly accelerated by the election of a President whose maturity and intellectual development stopped somewhere around third grade.

I have been particularly annoyed by the revisionist and entirely unfair criticisms leveled at former President Joe Biden. One can grant his deterioration with age without ignoring or diminishing the quality of his leadership, his policy decisions and his appointments of highly qualified people.

Despite the accusations of the bratty child who currently occupies the Oval Office, Biden left Trump an economy that was recognized globally as the best in the post-pandemic world. His approach to economic growth wasn’t simply light-years more grounded and sophisticated than Trump’s ignorant championing of tariffs and fossil fuels–it represented a welcome break from less empirically-grounded approaches, seen in his insistence that economic growth happens not from “trickle down,” but “from the middle out.”

A transcript of a 2024 conversation from Pitchfork Economics–a podcast by David Goldstein and Nick Hanauer (one of my longtime favorites)–featured a conversation with Jared Bernstein, who chaired Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers, and it focused on Biden’s philosophy. As Bernstein explained,

Bidenomics starts from a framework that growth originates from the bottom up and the middle out. You asked for a contrast, and that’s very different than trickle-down economics, which not only doesn’t work—and that’s an empirical statement, not a judgmental one—but has in fact exacerbated inequality and damaged growth, particularly through an inability to make the kind of investments that you see our administration making. So let’s get to the pillars of Bidenomics because investment is one of them.

Empowering workers. Nick, you and I, as long as we’ve known each other, have talked about the importance of worker bargaining power. And in fact, that word power, those five letters, mean a ton to how economies function and yet they’re little-discussed in much of classical economics.

Pillar two: Investment. Reversing decades of disinvestment in our public goods and in many cases, partnering with the private sector to invest in domestic production in key areas where markets have consistently failed to provide adequate investment.

And pillar three: Competition and lowering costs. So those are the three pillars.

The podcast was taped in February of 2024, and Bernstein shared some data from that year, noting that the expectations for job growth in January had been for an additional 185,000 jobs, but 353,000 were created. The unemployment rate had been below 4% for two years. (And forgive my snark, but Biden–unlike Trump– hadn’t found it necessary to fire the statistician responsible for producing that data…)

As Hanauer noted, any reasonable examination of the empirical economic evidence available shows an absolutely consistent pattern: when you follow the policies that the Biden administration pursued, the results are higher job creation, higher GDP growth rates, and increased productivity— far better economic results than are achieved by cutting taxes for rich people.

Bernstein agreed, pointing out that growing an economy “from the bottom up and the middle out” produces strong demand from a vast majority of the population. The top 1%, however, is (duh!) only 1% of the population. When the vast majority are doing well, that not only boosts growth through consumption (this is a 70% consumer spending economy) it also  signals investors that the investment climate is good– reassuring them that consumer spending is strong and the broad middle class is strong.

Bernstein noted that the difference between the economics to which Biden subscribed and the older “trickle-down” is essentially the difference between economists who are “empirically driven”– economists who look at the real world results of policies, and reject elegant theories about how the world should work that rather clearly haven’t worked–and others.

But the “middle-out” approach is broader than encouraging demand. The supply side matters, too. Core to a healthy economy is the promotion of competition so that markets function properly. That means getting rid of junk fees, giving Medicare bargaining power, eliminating the overuse of non-competes, and other measures to ensure a vigorous marketplace. Bernstein quotes Biden: “capitalism without competition looks a lot more like exploitation.”

There’s much more in the linked transcript, and I encourage you to click through and read it. Biden inherited an economy just emerging from a global pandemic, and got far too little credit for bringing down the inflation that pandemic had produced. We’re now seeing what happens when an economic ignoramus assumes power, and blames all his own blunders on his predecessor.

The rich get richer…and we’re back to “trickle-down.”

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Governing From Fantasy Land

I subscribe to a Substack with a particularly apt title: “Can We Still Govern?” A recent essay reviewed the multiple accusations of fraud used by our clown-car administration to bolster their allegations of “rigged votes” and their war on poor Americans, among other “alternate reality” efforts.

As the essay pointed out, Trump’s obsession with fraud has been the root justification for many, if not most, of the wrongheaded and unpopular decisions of this administration – from gutting the federal workforce, to attacking Social Security, to making it harder, especially for women, to vote, and for the hysterical attacks on immigrants that “justified” his toxic and thuggish immigration raids in Minnesota.

Speaking of toxic, Stephen Miller is one of the most rabid inhabitants of fantasy land. Miller has enthusiastically endorsed the fiction that immigrants “have been cheating for years” and has claimed that “if all of this theft were stopped, it would be enough to balance the budget. The extraction of wealth from American taxpayers to people who don’t belong here is the primary cause of the national debt.”

As the Substack points out,

This is not just untrue, it is a lie on the scale of Elon Musk claiming he would eliminate the deficit. Absolutely fantastical, a kind of fraudulent fraud claim, one untethered from the surly bonds of reason and evidence. The reality, according to an analysis from the libertarian Cato Institute, is the opposite: immigrants have significantly reduced the deficit, contributing a fiscal surplus of $14.5 trillion between 1993-2023.

if there is any rhetorical device that characterizes this administration, it’s the bald-faced lie (although Trump is so untethered from reality, so firmly ensconced in fantasy-land, that it is possible he believes the whoppers he spouts, at least at the time when they occur to him). The linked essay notes his repeated false claim that those evil Somalis had stolen $19 billion dollars from Medicaid in Minnesota, despite the fact that the federal government’s own data shows that Minnesota has been quite effective at controlling waste in its Medicaid program.

The Trump administration uses ridiculous claims like this to justify withholding Medicaid funding from Blue states. The administration’s announcement that it is withholding $259 million of Medicaid funding from Minnesota was how it kicked off its “War on Fraud.”

Trump uses fraud accusations about “fraud and waste” to distract from the reality that his administration is really hell-bent on gutting Medicaid.

The underlying hypocrisy is staggering. Trump is yelling about fraud, even as his administration goes on an unchecked crime-spree. Withholding $250 million in Minnesota’s Medicaid funding will not only do nothing to prevent fraud — it will turn eligible beneficiaries into the victims of Trump’s fraudulent fraud squad.

Indiana’s MAGA legislative super-majority is dutifully following suit.

Just this year, our terrible legislature enacted new and stricter eligibility controls, requiring eligibility checks every six months, mandatory three-month work histories, and copays for non-emergency ER visits. They were unable, however, to pass HB 1066, restricting officials from using tax dollars to purchase luxury cars…Here in Indiana, we emulate the Trump administration by afflicting the afflicted and comforting the comfortable.

What makes this so infuriating is that the Trump administration is easily the most corrupt presidential administration in history. Conflicts of interest are everywhere, while spending is out of control. (I recently posted about the items recently purchased by the Department of Defense, including massive amounts of lobster, King Crab and shrimp, plus $100,000 on a piano, $26,000 for a violin, and $21,750 for a flute.) Before her “reassignment,” we learned that Kristi Noem had spent $200 million on luxury jets  with bars and bedrooms, and had handed another $220 million in no-bid contracts to firms with which she was connected. And as the essay reminds us, “Kash Patel has turned the FBI into his own personal Make-A-Wish Foundation, using FBI planes to party with US hockey players in Italy, with buddies for golf and hunting trips, or to meet up with his girlfriend who now has her own FBI security detail.”

The essay also reminds us that Trump’s concerns about fraud haven’t kept him from pardoning individuals convicted of massive fraud, including–but certainly not limited to–Lawren Duran, who masterminded one of the largest-ever cases of Medicare fraud. Trump relieved Duran of the obligation to repay the over $84 million he defrauded from the public. Democratic House Judiciary staffers report that Trump’s pardons have eliminated over $1.3 billion in restitution and fines.

But sure, let’s make working poor folks who rely on Medicaid re-certify their eligibility every six months. (And don’t let those grifters on SNAP buy candy or soda.) The “good Christians” who support this obscene administration evidently think that’s what Jesus would want…

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Those “Fiscal Conservatives”

Heather Cox Richardson is a national treasure for many reasons–primarily, for providing her multitude of readers with historical context helping us better understand how we’ve come to where we are. But on March 11th, her daily letter shared information that should be far more widely known, information that confirms what critics of today’s GOP–of whom I am one–have been saying: the party that once proclaimed its devotion to fiscal sanity has become a cult that has enabled an administration of grifters and wild spenders; and none of that spending is even arguably for the public good. Instead, the self-serving indulgences of the totally incompetent clowns who currently occupy positions of authority come at the expense of the rest of us, but especially the poor. 

Richardson began her letter by quoting Senators appalled by the costs of Trump’s illegal war against Iran. She reminded readers that the Framers had given the power to declare war to Congress because they were familiar with the history of European kings who had launched wars of choice that had reduced their subjects to poverty. “If the debate over war went to Congress, voters could hear the reasoning for the war hashed out and decide for themselves if the cost in lives and treasure was worth it to them.” 

Fast forward to our would-be King and his retinue.

Trump is spending a billion dollars a day in his attacks on Iran– after slashing government programs that help Americans.  “About 23 million people signed up for ACA coverage this year, down by more than 1.2 million from last year,” and the administration has announced plans to cut another 4 million off the rolls in its effort to target “waste, fraud, and abuse.” In October, millions of Americans lost food benefits when the government declined to fund SNAP during the government shutdown.

Meanwhile, “Pete Hegseth blew through $93.4 billion in September 2025 alone, with more than $50 billion going out in the last five days of the month alone.”

A recitation of where that money went is both instructive and infuriating. 

“Pentagon officials bought “a $98,329 Steinway & Sons grand piano for the Air Force chief of staff’s home, $5.3 million for Apple devices such as the new iPad, and an astronomical amount of shellfish, including $2 million for Alaskan king crab and $6.9 million worth of lobster tail. (Lobster tail is apparently a favorite of Hegseth’s Pentagon—the department spent more than $7.4 million total on the luxury item in March, May, June, and October.) In other pricey food purchases, the government decided to drop $15.1 million for ribeye steak (again, just in September), $124,000 for ice cream machines, and $139,224 on 272 orders of doughnuts.”

Texas Democratic Senate nominee James Talarico noted that he’d recently been in Sand Branch, Texas, “a community south of Dallas that doesn’t have running water. It doesn’t have basic sewer infrastructure… So every dollar we spend bombing people in the Middle East is a dollar we’re not spending in Sand Branch, Texas, or in our communities here at home.”

True enough, but as Richardson reported, DOD isn’t even spending all that money on the bombs being illegally dropped on Iran. It’s spending our tax dollars on steak, king crab, lobster and shrimp for the plates of people who are already very well-fed.

Richardson shared an oft-quoted speech from Eisenhower in which he lamented the amounts spent on weapons of war. “Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed.” 

For years, America’s governments have funded a wildly bloated defense establishment. National budgets have subsidized fossil fuel companies and “rewarded” the corporate entities that have the means to lobby and donate, while ignoring the needs of the poor and dispossessed and making a mockery of the very concept of social welfare. 

I didn’t think this corrupt and evil administration could make me any angrier, but I was wrong. 

This year, the United States is “celebrating” its 250th anniversary. This will be the year we either throw the bums out and reclaim the promise of a government focused on the public good, or it will be the year we go the way of so many past world powers–brought down by the incompetence, cruelty and overwhelming greed of the privileged few.

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Fraud And Abuse By ‘Those People.”

The Hill recently published an article that should be filed under “telling it like it is.” The title is explanatory: “The War on Fraud is Really a War on the Poor.”

I’ve published several recent posts addressing the multiple inadequacies of what passes for America’s social safety net,  especially focusing on the fact that very little of the money we spend on welfare  programs actually gets to the beneficiaries of those programs; thanks to lawmakers’ obsession with determining recipients’ “merit,” we’ve erected a large and costly bureaucracy to screen applicants and to eliminate those perennial bugaboos “fraud and waste.”

As The Hill points out, what is described as a war on fraud and waste is really a war on poor people.

Every few years, someone digs up an example of someone gaming the system, and the response is always the same: “more paperwork, more surveillance, more hoops to jump through for people who are already struggling. The United States has long organized its anti-poverty programs around one overriding assumption: that poor people are likely to cheat.”

The article notes the costs of this misperception–including the expense of the enormous bureaucracy we’ve erected to ensure that no poor person gets a penny to which s/he is not “entitled.”

Families who claim the Earned Income Tax Credit are audited at dramatically higher rates than wealthier taxpayers. Families applying for SNAP benefits–aka Food Stamps–have to document income, housing and household composition not just when they first apply, but in “re-certifications” every few months. Those who miss a deadline or misunderstand a form lose their benefits — not because they did something fraudulent, but because they “failed to navigate an administrative maze designed to catch it.”

And cash benefits? As the article notes, after decades of “reform” intended to weed out the fraudulent and ineligible, only  one in five eligible families currently receives any cash assistance, and even for those who do, benefit levels don’t begin to cover basic needs.

This approach also corrodes trust. When every interaction with the government begins with suspicion — when benefits arrive late, disappear without warning or require endless proof — people learn that institutions are not there to help them. They disengage. They stop applying.

None of this means fraud should be ignored. Public programs need safeguards. Taxpayer dollars matter. But fraud losses are a cost of doing business in every system — from corporate accounting to defense contracting. We don’t respond to those risks by forcing CEOs to recertify their eligibility every six months or freezing entire programs over isolated scandals. We reserve that treatment for those living in poverty, and it doesn’t have to be this way.

This obsession with suspected “Welfare Queens” who abuse government generosity isn’t based on experience or data; multiple audits have found that actual fraud by benefit recipients is rare. Improper payments — most of which are errors, not fraud — make up only a small fraction of spending. As the linked article points out, “We have constructed a massive enforcement apparatus to root out a small minority, and in the process, we have made life materially harder for millions.”

What is particularly galling about this war on poor people is the mounting, irrefutable evidence that the people looting the treasury aren’t poor single mothers “raking in” $450 a month. The real “fraud and waste” comes from the millionaires and billionaires making shady (or worse) deals with the Trump administration, and they’re making out like bandits.

As numerous watchdog organizations, including the Campaign Legal Center, have reported,  Trump has been rewarding his biggest donors with political favors and providing his donors and friends with countless opportunities to enrich themselves at the expense of the American people. Crew reports that 20 cabinet members have directed at least 30 million dollars to “pad Trump’s political coffers, pet projects or personal bottom line.” Government officials and secret service members have spent untold hours at Trump resorts, paying inflated rates and filling Trump family coffers. The list goes on.

The Intercept reports that Trump–with the help of the Republicans in Congress– funded his tax cuts for corporations and the uber-rich by cutting  billions of dollars in services for the poor and for working people, including Medicaid, and that large numbers of corporate executives are “quietly enriching themselves on Trump’s policies.”

And while massive grift and theft goes on at the top, our intrepid lawmakers are making sure that no one can spend their food stamps on sodas…

We’re waging war on the wrong people.

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